Same seed, same truth
Ten thousand simulated annual losses, computed in your browser by the shipping engine. Re-run as many times as you like — with the seed fixed, every figure repeats to the digit, for you and for anyone you send this page to.
The dice
MT19937, seeded — you hold the seed
run #1 of this exact simulation
Stated limit
The loss model is a fixed illustrative LogNormal — one heavy-tailed annual loss. The simulation machinery around it is the shipping engine.
This run
10,000 iterations, computed just now
Mean annual loss
$719.1K
P95
$2.3M
P99
$4.5M
Why it matters
Click re-run: nothing moves. That stillness is the point — an unreproducible risk number cannot be audited, challenged, or defended.
Why it matters
Move the seed: the figures shift within their error bars — that spread is sampling noise, and the next scene puts a number on it.